BOBBY ORR vs. WAYNE GRETZKY
Orr and Gretzky weren’t just great players at their respective positions. They challenged us to rethink what was possible in ways we never imagined.
With Orr it was the ability to control the offensive flow of a hockey game from the back end. In Gretzky’s case, it was his innate ability to anticipate what was going on around him at all times, making the puck come to him almost magically.
They were each one of a kind when they arrived on the scene, and still are today.
Ever since Wayne Gretzky retired, there has been a great ongoing debate about who was greater: Orr or Gretzky? If we are going to compare these two players, who played different positions in vastly different eras, then we begin our analysis with the most accurate measure of a player's overall strength: Plus/Minus Ratio.
Plus/Minus Ratio is a number (positive/negative) that is added to, every time a player's team scores (at EVEN STRENGTH) and that player is on the ice. Conversely, if the player is on the ice (at EVEN STRENGTH) and the other team scores, a point is subtracted from the player in question.
Although not perfect, Plus/Minus (+/-) Ratio is the only statistic in
Hockey that accounts for a players offensive AND defensive abilities.
Bear in mind that no defenceman's stats should stack up against a forward.
Bobby was on the ice in every key defensive situation the Bruins faced.
They didn't start to keep +/- until 1967-68, Bobby's second season.
Bobby's career +/- is 597
Wayne's career +/- is 518
Bobby's best year was +124, Wayne's was +98. Bobby never had a minus
season, Wayne had 7 minus seasons.
Bobby's +/- seasons
1967-68 +30
1968-69 +65
1969-70 +54
1970-71 +124 (all-time record)
1971-72 +86
1972-73 +56
1973-74 +84
1974-75 +80
1975-76 +10 (10 games played)
1976-77 +6 (20 games with Chicago)
1977-78 (Did Not Play)
1978-79 +2 (6 Games played with Chicago)
Gretzky needed over 200 points to register his high of something like
+70, while Bobby Orr’s high was +122 (on around 146 points)
Remarkable when you consider powerplay goals don't count in the total.
I don't think Gretzky is the best player ever, not even close. When you view his +/- stats over the length of his career, it's not all that good, and doesn't really compare with other forwards. For instance, going into the 1999-2000 season, Wayne was at +541 in 1417 games, for an average of +0.38 per game. Bobby was +0.91 per game, FAR AND AWAY THE BEST EVER. Larry Robinson is next closest at something around 0.54 per game. Wayne's numbers don't compare with a lot of very good scorers, who also happened to know there were two ends of the ice, players like Mike Bossy and Bryan Trottier, Rick Middleton for instance, who are around 0.45 per game.
Bobby's +124 in 1970-71 is an NHL record, and the .91 +/- per game is
almost twice the nearest guy, Larry Robinson, so that is a record too.
There will be comparisons, but for the most part I believe most people who saw both players play agree that Bobby was the best. Gretzky is a great player, but he's not Bobby Orr. I don't even think he was Gordie Howe for that matter. The game is different today, and Wayne had the advantage of playing when goals were scored at a rate twice as high as when Gordie played. To give you an idea, Wayne retired at 38, having scored 12 goals this season. Gordie Howe had three more seasons in which he scored over 30 goals after he turned 39. I happen to believe that the most amazing "stat" in hockey is that Gordie Howe finished in the top five in scoring for 21 straight seasons. Wayne did it for 8 seasons. In Gordie Howe's final NHL season, at AGE 52, he scored 15 goals.
I doubt anyone will ever have the effect on hockey that Bobby Orr had.
Proof is in Boston itself. When Bobby came into the league there was one American playing, Tommie Williams, and he was from Minnesota. Once Bobby started playing in Boston, rinks started cropping up all over Boston. Kids began playing hockey because of Bobby Orr. Today the Boston area is the number one prime spawning grounds for NHL talent. Before Bobby: NOBODY, after Bobby you have Keith Thachuk, Jeremy Roenick, Kevin Stevens, Tony Amonte, etc... In 1998, when Bobby turned 50, Boston and surrounding area were the largest per capita producer of hockey players in the NHL. Each and everyone one of those guys learned to play the game on rinks that were built because of Bobby Orr.
If, in 10 years time, kids start coming into the NHL in massive numbers
from L.A., then you can put Wayne's contributions in the same league as
Bobby Orr's, but that isn't going to happen.
Wayne was a great player, no question. He gave great interviews, and he
seems to be a really nice guy, but calling him the best ever is like
calling a DH in baseball the best ever player. Americans understand the game of baseball much better than hockey, and they realize that a DH is a one dimensional player. When people talk about the best ever they talk about Babe Ruth, or Willie Mays, they don't talk about Hal McRae. Americans do understand point production, and there is no denying Wayne has amazing point totals.
Some more +/- analysis is provided below. These stats are through the end of the 1998-1999 season. Most guys I will mention are retired.
Player All-Time +/- +/- Per Game
Larry Robinson 730 .53
Bobby Orr 597 .91
Wayne Gretzky 541 .38
Ray Bourque 508 .36
Bobby Clarke 506 .44
No one else has a plus minus of over 500!
(In brackets I will list players career +/- that are not listed above)
Plus/Minus Per Game Career Leaders:
Player +/- Per Game
Bobby Orr .91
Larry Robinson .53
Mike Bossy .51 (381)
Bobby Clarke .44
Serge Savard .44 (460)
Denis Potvin .43 (460)
Mark Howe .43 (400)
Dallas Smith .40 (355)
Guy Lafluer .40 (453)
I also took a look at Points per Game + +/- per game to get a look at how a player contributed to a teams winning or losing. Bobby Orr, Wayne Gretzky, Mario Lemieux and Mike Bossy are the only players whose totals are greater than 2.00.
Player PPG +/-PG Total
Gretzky 1.97 .38 2.35
Orr 1.39 .91 2.30
Lemieux 2.01 .18 2.19
Bossy 1.50 .51 2.01
To get an idea just how far ahead of other players those guys are, the next closest combined total for any player is Guy Lafluer (1.20 + .40 = 1.60).
If you think Wayne didn't have the opportunity to play defense, you
must have fallen asleep during some of those west coast games.
How many 7-6 games did they win? Look at the Oilers' goals against average during those years and compare them to Orr’s Bruins.
Did Orr get caught up ice on some of his rushes? Absolutely, they were calculated risks. But he was able to recover better than Wayne ever could.
Please don't compare the eighties to the six team era. There were more
teams and less talent in the eighties (in terms of depth) than in the
seventies. Also, by the time Gretzky was in his prime, there were roughly 1.5 more goals scored per game than in the early 1970’s. In other words, Orr’s goals were harder to come by Gretzky or Coffey’s.
The Oilers played in a no-defence division were 7-5 playoff games were common. That was why it was easy for them to beat playoff-weary eastern teams. Wayne was very fortunate to play in an era of high scoring, weak defence and even weaker opposition. Look at the division the Oilers were in during the record breaking seasons. They got to beat up on Calgary, Vancouver, L.A., Winnipeg and the old Colorado Rockies almost nightly. With scores of 9-3 and 10-4 every night, how could he not get all those points?
Furthermore, in Bobby’s days, superstars were expected to defend themselves (ask Hull, Howe etc.) not hide behind their sisters (aka Semenko). Bobby could stand up for himself.
Moreover, Gretzky was judged by many, to be the greatest player in the game for a much longer span in his career than Orr was. I have a hard time not wondering what Orr might have been had knee injuries not hampered him throughout his career, eventually forcing him to retire at age 30.
At his best, no one was better or more fun to watch than Bobby Orr. Not even Wayne Gretzky. |